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M Brown

2006–2017 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: M. Brown
Matches 193
Draws 57
Draw % 29.5% +5.2 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 193 matches (Aug 2006 – May 2017), M Brown drew 57 where the draw model expected 53.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 51.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 62 16 25.8%
ENG · League One 61 17 27.9%
ENG · Championship 37 9 24.3%
ENG · National League 33 15 45.5%
By season 10 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2016/17 18 7 38.9%
2015/16 30 8 26.7%
2014/15 29 8 27.6%
2013/14 29 7 24.1%
2011/12 31 7 22.6%
2010/11 23 5 21.7%
2009/10 8 2 25.0%
2008/09 8 4 50.0%
2007/08 9 6 66.7%
2006/07 8 3 37.5%
Latest matches last 50

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