▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

L Swabey

2012–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 287
Draws 62
Draw % 21.6% -2.7 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 287 matches (Feb 2012 – May 2026), L Swabey drew 62 where the draw model expected 79.1 from those particular fixtures — about 17 fewer, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 77.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 126 33 26.2%
ENG · League One 119 22 18.5%
ENG · National League 41 6 14.6%
ENG · Championship 1 1 100.0%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2025/26 25 4 16.0%
2024/25 27 7 25.9%
2023/24 24 6 25.0%
2022/23 26 5 19.2%
2021/22 21 5 23.8%
2020/21 24 4 16.7%
2019/20 21 6 28.6%
2018/19 25 5 20.0%
2017/18 17 3 17.6%
2016/17 13 3 23.1%
2015/16 28 9 32.1%
2014/15 14 2 14.3%
2013/14 20 3 15.0%
2011/12 2 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy