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Match official

Keith Hill

2000–2016 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: Hill, K. D., K Hill
Matches 352
Draws 98
Draw % 27.8% +3.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 352 matches (Aug 2000 – Apr 2016), Keith Hill drew 98 where the draw model expected 98.2 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 95.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 127 40 31.5%
ENG · Championship 124 33 26.6%
ENG · League Two 101 25 24.8%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2015/16 30 8 26.7%
2014/15 29 9 31.0%
2013/14 31 6 19.4%
2010/11 25 6 24.0%
2009/10 27 11 40.7%
2008/09 16 5 31.3%
2007/08 28 8 28.6%
2006/07 32 6 18.8%
2005/06 21 9 42.9%
2004/05 14 4 28.6%
2003/04 30 7 23.3%
2002/03 29 8 27.6%
2001/02 15 4 26.7%
2000/01 25 7 28.0%
Latest matches last 50

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