▦ FDB4
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Match official

George Cain

2000–2004 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: Cain, G., G Cain, G. Cain
Matches 115
Draws 37
Draw % 32.2% +7.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 115 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2004), George Cain drew 37 where the draw model expected 31.9 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 31.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 40 11 27.5%
ENG · League Two 39 14 35.9%
ENG · League One 36 12 33.3%
By season 4 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2003/04 28 9 32.1%
2002/03 31 11 35.5%
2001/02 29 7 24.1%
2000/01 27 10 37.0%
Latest matches last 50

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