G Eltringham
Over 410 matches (Aug 2008 – Jan 2025), G Eltringham drew 106 where the draw model expected 114.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 111.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 230 | 59 | 25.7% |
| ENG · League One | 87 | 24 | 27.6% |
| ENG · League Two | 84 | 22 | 26.2% |
| ENG · National League | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/25 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| 2023/24 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% |
| 2022/23 | 25 | 10 | 40.0% |
| 2021/22 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2019/20 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% |
| 2018/19 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% |
| 2017/18 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% |
| 2016/17 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% |
| 2015/16 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2014/15 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% |
| 2013/14 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% |
| 2011/12 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% |
| 2010/11 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2009/10 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% |
| 2008/09 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan 2025 | Cardiff City | 1–1 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Watford | 2–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Dec 2024 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–0 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Middlesbrough | 1–0 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Preston North End | 1–3 | Bristol City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Notts County | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Wrexham | 4–1 | Northampton Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Blackpool | 3–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Morecambe | 3–3 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Sep 2024 | Chesterfield | 2–1 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Watford | 2–1 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Bradford City | 0–0 | Salford City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 04 May 2024 | Swansea City | 0–1 | Millwall | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Apr 2024 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Apr 2024 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–3 | Forest Green Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Sheffield Wednesday | 1–1 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Mar 2024 | Queens Park Rangers | 2–2 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Millwall | 0–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Hull City | 0–1 | Swansea City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Blackburn Rovers | 1–2 | Queens Park Rangers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Swindon Town | 2–0 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2023 | Birmingham City | 0–0 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Stoke City | 0–0 | Millwall | D | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Leeds United | 1–1 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Watford | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Nov 2023 | Blackpool | 1–2 | Northampton Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–0 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Charlton Athletic | 0–2 | Bolton Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Hull City | 1–2 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Oct 2023 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Bristol Rovers | 4–1 | Wigan Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Sep 2023 | Millwall | 3–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Sep 2023 | Burton Albion | 0–1 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League One |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–1 | Ipswich Town | A | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Watford | 0–0 | Plymouth Argyle | D | ENG · Championship |
| 08 May 2023 | Bradford City | 1–1 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Hull City | 1–1 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2023 | Sheffield United | 1–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Barnsley | 2–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Queens Park Rangers | 0–2 | Preston North End | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Mar 2023 | Blackpool | 1–4 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Mar 2023 | Northampton Town | 1–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Birmingham City | 2–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Feb 2023 | Luton Town | 2–2 | Millwall | D | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Wigan Athletic | 0–0 | Norwich City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Feb 2023 | Swansea City | 2–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Ipswich Town | 2–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | D | ENG · League One |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Queens Park Rangers | D | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Luton Town | 1–0 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · Championship |