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D Middleton

2017–2024 · 3 competitions
Matches 137
Draws 40
Draw % 29.2% +4.9 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 137 matches (Aug 2017 – Oct 2024), D Middleton drew 40 where the draw model expected 36.2 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 35.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 105 30 28.6%
ENG · League Two 17 4 23.5%
ENG · League One 15 6 40.0%
By season 8 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2024/25 8 3 37.5%
2023/24 24 7 29.2%
2022/23 18 6 33.3%
2021/22 16 4 25.0%
2020/21 19 6 31.6%
2019/20 13 3 23.1%
2018/19 21 4 19.0%
2017/18 18 7 38.9%
Latest matches last 50

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