D Handley
Over 243 matches (Aug 2008 – Apr 2023), D Handley drew 81 where the draw model expected 67.1 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 2.0 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 64.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 96 | 33 | 34.4% |
| ENG · League One | 76 | 23 | 30.3% |
| ENG · National League | 66 | 21 | 31.8% |
| ENG · Championship | 5 | 4 | 80.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% |
| 2021/22 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% |
| 2019/20 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% |
| 2017/18 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% |
| 2016/17 | 34 | 14 | 41.2% |
| 2015/16 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% |
| 2014/15 | 24 | 11 | 45.8% |
| 2013/14 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| 2011/12 | 21 | 5 | 23.8% |
| 2010/11 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% |
| 2009/10 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% |
| 2008/09 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2023 | Grimsby Town | 2–0 | Crewe Alexandra | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Newport County | 2–0 | Hartlepool United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Salford City | 0–2 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Barrow | 2–1 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Mar 2023 | Exeter City | 3–1 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Mar 2023 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Doncaster Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Mar 2023 | Cheltenham Town | 0–0 | Lincoln City | D | ENG · League One |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Port Vale | 1–0 | Milton Keynes Dons | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Morecambe | 0–3 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Feb 2023 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–0 | Carlisle United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Jan 2023 | Salford City | 1–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 07 Jan 2023 | Harrogate Town | 1–3 | Colchester United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2022 | Fleetwood Town | 1–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · League One |
| 03 Dec 2022 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Oct 2022 | Hartlepool United | 0–2 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Morecambe | D | ENG · League One |
| 11 Oct 2022 | Peterborough United | 4–1 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 24 Sep 2022 | Northampton Town | 2–1 | Stockport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Swindon Town | 3–2 | Sutton United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Leyton Orient | 2–4 | Northampton Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Colchester United | 3–0 | Bradford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–1 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 05 Apr 2022 | Salford City | 0–1 | Port Vale | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Mar 2022 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | Cambridge United | A | ENG · League One |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Crawley Town | 3–1 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Tranmere Rovers | 2–0 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Newport County | 1–0 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2022 | Scunthorpe United | 0–0 | Northampton Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Barrow | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League Two |
| 08 Feb 2022 | Mansfield Town | 2–1 | Colchester United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Feb 2022 | Bradford City | 1–1 | Leyton Orient | D | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Carlisle United | 0–2 | Sutton United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Jan 2022 | Burton Albion | 0–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Walsall | 0–2 | Exeter City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2022 | Hartlepool United | 0–0 | Oldham Athletic | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Feb 2020 | Blackpool | 2–3 | Gillingham | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Feb 2020 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | H | ENG · League One |
| 25 Jan 2020 | Exeter City | 0–0 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Swindon Town | 3–1 | Crewe Alexandra | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2020 | Walsall | 1–0 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2019 | Oldham Athletic | 1–4 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Dec 2019 | Coventry City | 1–0 | Lincoln City | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Dec 2019 | Morecambe | 1–1 | Carlisle United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Nov 2019 | Rotherham United | 1–0 | Accrington Stanley | H | ENG · League One |
| 05 Nov 2019 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–0 | Peterborough United | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Oct 2019 | Bristol Rovers | 2–2 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · League One |
| 22 Oct 2019 | Burton Albion | 1–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 12 Oct 2019 | Macclesfield Town | 2–1 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Oct 2019 | Rotherham United | 4–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Sep 2019 | Rochdale | 0–3 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |