D Drysdale
Over 524 matches (Aug 2004 – Sep 2026), D Drysdale drew 157 where the draw model expected 144.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 142.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League One | 229 | 73 | 31.9% |
| ENG · League Two | 221 | 58 | 26.2% |
| ENG · Championship | 58 | 22 | 37.9% |
| ENG · National League | 16 | 4 | 25.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% |
| 2025/26 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2024/25 | 28 | 7 | 25.0% |
| 2023/24 | 31 | 11 | 35.5% |
| 2022/23 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% |
| 2021/22 | 28 | 5 | 17.9% |
| 2020/21 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% |
| 2019/20 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% |
| 2018/19 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2017/18 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% |
| 2016/17 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% |
| 2015/16 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% |
| 2014/15 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2013/14 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2011/12 | 36 | 17 | 47.2% |
| 2010/11 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% |
| 2009/10 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% |
| 2008/09 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| 2007/08 | 26 | 9 | 34.6% |
| 2006/07 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% |
| 2005/06 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2004/05 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Newport County | 2–1 | Grimsby Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Blackpool | 2–4 | Plymouth Argyle | A | ENG · League One |
| 12 Sep 2026 | York City | 4–0 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | Rotherham United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Peterborough United | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Blackpool | 1–0 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Apr 2026 | York City | 3–0 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · National League |
| 15 Apr 2026 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Barrow | 0–1 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Bristol Rovers | 1–0 | Fleetwood Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 4–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–0 | Doncaster Rovers | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Southend United | 1–1 | Gateshead | D | ENG · National League |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 5–2 | Cardiff City | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Rochdale | 1–1 | Scunthorpe United | D | ENG · National League |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Bromley | 1–1 | Notts County | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Swindon Town | 2–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Feb 2026 | Accrington Stanley | 1–0 | Salford City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Barnet | 3–2 | Oldham Athletic | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Tranmere Rovers | 1–3 | Walsall | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Jan 2026 | Northampton Town | 0–0 | Stockport County | D | ENG · League One |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 09 Dec 2025 | Leyton Orient | 1–1 | Luton Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 0–0 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League One |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 1–2 | Barnsley | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Fleetwood Town | 3–2 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons | 3–2 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 0–2 | Cardiff City | A | ENG · League One |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 3–0 | AFC Wimbledon | H | ENG · League One |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Sutton United | 2–1 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · National League |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 1–0 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Aug 2025 | Notts County | 4–1 | Shrewsbury Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 May 2025 | Bolton Wanderers | 1–1 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 29 Apr 2025 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Wigan Athletic | D | ENG · League One |
| 21 Apr 2025 | Blackpool | 1–2 | Wrexham | A | ENG · League One |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Shrewsbury Town | 1–3 | Reading | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Accrington Stanley | 1–4 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Cheltenham Town | 0–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Salford City | 0–4 | Chesterfield | A | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Doncaster Rovers | 3–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Huddersfield Town | 0–1 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Feb 2025 | Wrexham | 1–2 | Leyton Orient | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Wigan Athletic | 0–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League One |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Birmingham City | 4–0 | Cambridge United | H | ENG · League One |
| 28 Jan 2025 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–1 | Barnsley | H | ENG · League One |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Rotherham United | 4–2 | Charlton Athletic | H | ENG · League One |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Northampton Town | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Grimsby Town | 2–1 | Harrogate Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Dec 2024 | Rochdale | 3–0 | Tamworth | H | ENG · National League |
| 04 Dec 2024 | Peterborough United | 0–1 | Burton Albion | A | ENG · League One |