Match official

D Drysdale

2004–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 524
Draws 157
Draw % 30.0% +5.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4

Over 524 matches (Aug 2004 – Sep 2026), D Drysdale drew 157 where the draw model expected 144.6 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 142.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 229 73 31.9%
ENG · League Two 221 58 26.2%
ENG · Championship 58 22 37.9%
ENG · National League 16 4 25.0%
By season 22 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 5 1 20.0%
2025/26 27 8 29.6%
2024/25 28 7 25.0%
2023/24 31 11 35.5%
2022/23 28 8 28.6%
2021/22 28 5 17.9%
2020/21 19 6 31.6%
2019/20 18 8 44.4%
2018/19 30 7 23.3%
2017/18 37 12 32.4%
2016/17 19 5 26.3%
2015/16 30 9 30.0%
2014/15 26 7 26.9%
2013/14 29 9 31.0%
2011/12 36 17 47.2%
2010/11 18 5 27.8%
2009/10 9 1 11.1%
2008/09 9 2 22.2%
2007/08 26 9 34.6%
2006/07 19 4 21.1%
2005/06 27 8 29.6%
2004/05 25 8 32.0%
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