Match official

D Deadman

2005–2017 · 3 competitions
Matches 345
Draws 110
Draw % 31.9% +7.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3

Over 345 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2017), D Deadman drew 110 where the draw model expected 95.8 from those particular fixtures — about 14 more, or 1.7 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 94.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 122 41 33.6%
ENG · League Two 121 33 27.3%
ENG · Championship 102 36 35.3%
By season 11 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2016/17 41 15 36.6%
2015/16 34 10 29.4%
2014/15 30 10 33.3%
2013/14 30 8 26.7%
2011/12 38 11 28.9%
2010/11 26 13 50.0%
2009/10 33 10 30.3%
2008/09 32 14 43.8%
2007/08 26 5 19.2%
2006/07 28 6 21.4%
2005/06 27 8 29.6%
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