Carl Boyeson
Over 555 matches (Aug 2002 – May 2023), Carl Boyeson drew 146 where the draw model expected 154.0 from those particular fixtures — about 8 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 151.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 240 | 71 | 29.6% |
| ENG · League One | 226 | 56 | 24.8% |
| ENG · Championship | 89 | 19 | 21.3% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% |
| 2021/22 | 22 | 7 | 31.8% |
| 2020/21 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% |
| 2019/20 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% |
| 2018/19 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% |
| 2017/18 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% |
| 2016/17 | 31 | 13 | 41.9% |
| 2015/16 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% |
| 2014/15 | 29 | 5 | 17.2% |
| 2013/14 | 27 | 11 | 40.7% |
| 2011/12 | 34 | 6 | 17.6% |
| 2010/11 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% |
| 2009/10 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% |
| 2008/09 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% |
| 2007/08 | 30 | 6 | 20.0% |
| 2006/07 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% |
| 2005/06 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% |
| 2004/05 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% |
| 2003/04 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2002/03 | 25 | 9 | 36.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May 2023 | Harrogate Town | 1–1 | Rochdale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Apr 2023 | Crewe Alexandra | 2–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Apr 2023 | Wycombe Wanderers | 2–0 | Forest Green Rovers | H | ENG · League One |
| 07 Apr 2023 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–3 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 01 Apr 2023 | Hartlepool United | 2–1 | Swindon Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Mar 2023 | Colchester United | 1–1 | Tranmere Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Mar 2023 | AFC Wimbledon | 0–1 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Ipswich Town | 4–0 | Burton Albion | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Feb 2023 | Rochdale | 1–2 | Stockport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Bradford City | 0–1 | Barrow | A | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Charlton Athletic | 1–2 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 04 Feb 2023 | Bristol Rovers | 0–2 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 14 Jan 2023 | Mansfield Town | 1–1 | Crewe Alexandra | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Jan 2023 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Dec 2022 | Grimsby Town | 1–4 | Salford City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Stevenage | 1–0 | Hartlepool United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Tranmere Rovers | 0–2 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Oct 2022 | Gillingham | 1–1 | Barrow | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Cambridge United | 0–2 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Sep 2022 | Doncaster Rovers | 4–1 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Sep 2022 | Walsall | 1–1 | Colchester United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Harrogate Town | 0–4 | Newport County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Apr 2022 | Fleetwood Town | 2–3 | Sheffield Wednesday | A | ENG · League One |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Bradford City | 1–1 | Tranmere Rovers | D | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Apr 2022 | Cambridge United | 2–1 | Morecambe | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Exeter City | 2–1 | Stevenage | H | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Swindon Town | 2–1 | Sutton United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Mar 2022 | Harrogate Town | 1–2 | Hartlepool United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Leyton Orient | 0–1 | Carlisle United | A | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Charlton Athletic | 0–4 | Oxford United | A | ENG · League One |
| 29 Jan 2022 | AFC Wimbledon | 1–1 | Shrewsbury Town | D | ENG · League One |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Wigan Athletic | 3–2 | Gillingham | H | ENG · League One |
| 26 Dec 2021 | Lincoln City | 2–3 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Rochdale | 3–0 | Newport County | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Crawley Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Nov 2021 | Bradford City | 1–1 | Northampton Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Oct 2021 | Sutton United | 0–1 | Walsall | A | ENG · League Two |
| 19 Oct 2021 | Crewe Alexandra | 0–4 | Sunderland | A | ENG · League One |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Harrogate Town | 0–0 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League Two |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Mansfield Town | 1–1 | Rochdale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Burton Albion | 1–1 | Gillingham | D | ENG · League One |
| 04 Sep 2021 | Oldham Athletic | 0–3 | Barrow | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Doncaster Rovers | 0–0 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · League One |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Cheltenham Town | 1–3 | Wycombe Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 24 Apr 2021 | Morecambe | 0–1 | Bolton Wanderers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 20 Apr 2021 | Harrogate Town | 0–3 | Oldham Athletic | A | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Colchester United | 2–1 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 05 Apr 2021 | Stevenage | 1–1 | Bradford City | D | ENG · League Two |
| 02 Apr 2021 | Swindon Town | 0–2 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League One |
| 23 Mar 2021 | Burton Albion | 1–2 | Shrewsbury Town | A | ENG · League One |