▦ FDB4
Referee all referees ›
Match official

C Sarginson

2005–2022 · 4 competitions
Matches 397
Draws 119
Draw % 30.0% +5.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 397 matches (Sep 2005 – Apr 2022), C Sarginson drew 119 where the draw model expected 110.3 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 107.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 179 60 33.5%
ENG · League One 160 48 30.0%
ENG · National League 32 6 18.8%
ENG · Championship 26 5 19.2%
By season 16 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2021/22 26 10 38.5%
2020/21 24 12 50.0%
2019/20 19 6 31.6%
2018/19 34 9 26.5%
2017/18 35 7 20.0%
2016/17 31 10 32.3%
2015/16 28 6 21.4%
2014/15 27 7 25.9%
2013/14 28 9 32.1%
2011/12 32 9 28.1%
2010/11 30 10 33.3%
2009/10 26 9 34.6%
2008/09 25 9 36.0%
2007/08 13 4 30.8%
2006/07 10 1 10.0%
2005/06 9 1 11.1%
Latest matches last 50

We use a session cookie to run the site and, if you allow it, Google Analytics to see which pages are used. No ads, no tracking across sites. Cookie policy