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Match official

C Oliver

2004–2009 · 3 competitions
Matches 140
Draws 37
Draw % 26.4% +2.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 140 matches (Aug 2004 – May 2009), C Oliver drew 37 where the draw model expected 39.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 38.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 56 13 23.2%
ENG · League One 47 17 36.2%
ENG · Championship 37 7 18.9%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2008/09 28 2 7.1%
2007/08 30 9 30.0%
2006/07 31 8 25.8%
2005/06 26 7 26.9%
2004/05 25 11 44.0%
Latest matches last 50

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