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C Breakspear

2012–2026 · 4 competitions
Matches 362
Draws 95
Draw % 26.2% +1.9 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 362 matches (Feb 2012 – May 2026), C Breakspear drew 95 where the draw model expected 100.5 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 98.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 177 46 26.0%
ENG · League Two 162 43 26.5%
ENG · Championship 17 5 29.4%
ENG · National League 6 1 16.7%
By season 14 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2025/26 23 6 26.1%
2024/25 17 5 29.4%
2023/24 32 6 18.8%
2022/23 25 3 12.0%
2021/22 28 7 25.0%
2020/21 24 11 45.8%
2019/20 25 5 20.0%
2018/19 36 11 30.6%
2017/18 37 9 24.3%
2016/17 33 9 27.3%
2015/16 32 6 18.8%
2014/15 26 9 34.6%
2013/14 22 7 31.8%
2011/12 2 1 50.0%
Latest matches last 50

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