B Malone
Over 216 matches (Aug 2005 – May 2018), B Malone drew 54 where the draw model expected 59.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 58.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · League Two | 89 | 26 | 29.2% |
| ENG · League One | 54 | 11 | 20.4% |
| ENG · National League | 50 | 7 | 14.0% |
| ENG · Championship | 23 | 10 | 43.5% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017/18 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| 2016/17 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% |
| 2015/16 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2014/15 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% |
| 2013/14 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% |
| 2011/12 | 29 | 6 | 20.7% |
| 2010/11 | 24 | 5 | 20.8% |
| 2009/10 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% |
| 2008/09 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| 2007/08 | 16 | 0 | 0.0% |
| 2006/07 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% |
| 2005/06 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May 2018 | Gillingham | 5–2 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Apr 2018 | Exeter City | 2–1 | Chesterfield | H | ENG · League Two |
| 14 Apr 2018 | Colchester United | 1–3 | Notts County | A | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Apr 2018 | Oxford United | 0–1 | Fleetwood Town | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 Apr 2018 | Yeovil Town | 0–3 | Luton Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 30 Mar 2018 | Plymouth Argyle | 4–0 | Southend United | H | ENG · League One |
| 13 Mar 2018 | Barnet | 1–1 | Port Vale | D | ENG · League Two |
| 10 Mar 2018 | Crawley Town | 1–1 | Morecambe | D | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Feb 2018 | Wycombe Wanderers | 0–1 | Coventry City | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Mar 2017 | Gillingham | 0–1 | Peterborough United | A | ENG · League One |
| 18 Mar 2017 | Mansfield Town | 2–0 | Carlisle United | H | ENG · League Two |
| 11 Mar 2017 | Luton Town | 0–2 | Stevenage | A | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Feb 2017 | Newport County | 1–1 | Morecambe | D | ENG · League Two |
| 31 Dec 2016 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–0 | Crawley Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Dec 2016 | Bristol Rovers | 4–1 | Coventry City | H | ENG · League One |
| 17 Dec 2016 | AFC Wimbledon | 4–0 | Port Vale | H | ENG · League One |
| 19 Nov 2016 | Leyton Orient | 1–2 | Blackpool | A | ENG · League Two |
| 29 Oct 2016 | Yeovil Town | 0–0 | Grimsby Town | D | ENG · League Two |
| 22 Oct 2016 | Crawley Town | 0–0 | Accrington Stanley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Oct 2016 | Southend United | 1–1 | Peterborough United | D | ENG · League One |
| 24 Sep 2016 | Notts County | 3–1 | Leyton Orient | H | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Sep 2016 | Bristol Rovers | 1–1 | Walsall | D | ENG · League One |
| 10 Sep 2016 | Colchester United | 3–2 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League Two |
| 03 Sep 2016 | Oxford United | 1–0 | Rochdale | H | ENG · League One |
| 27 Aug 2016 | Port Vale | 3–1 | Scunthorpe United | H | ENG · League One |
| 20 Aug 2016 | Plymouth Argyle | 2–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 16 Aug 2016 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–1 | Accrington Stanley | D | ENG · League Two |
| 13 Aug 2016 | Gillingham | 2–1 | Bury | H | ENG · League One |
| 06 Aug 2016 | Shrewsbury Town | 0–1 | Milton Keynes Dons | A | ENG · League One |
| 07 May 2016 | Preston North End | 1–1 | Leeds United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Apr 2016 | Wycombe Wanderers | 1–2 | AFC Wimbledon | A | ENG · League Two |
| 25 Mar 2016 | Oxford United | 1–1 | Stevenage | D | ENG · League Two |
| 15 Mar 2016 | Newport County | 0–0 | Hartlepool United | D | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Mar 2016 | Barnsley | 0–2 | Southend United | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Mar 2016 | Brentford | 1–2 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Mar 2016 | Exeter City | 1–1 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · League Two |
| 27 Feb 2016 | Cardiff City | 2–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Feb 2016 | Ipswich Town | 0–1 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Feb 2016 | Plymouth Argyle | 3–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League Two |
| 06 Feb 2016 | Northampton Town | 2–0 | York City | H | ENG · League Two |
| 23 Jan 2016 | Southend United | 3–0 | Coventry City | H | ENG · League One |
| 16 Jan 2016 | Colchester United | 1–2 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · League One |
| 28 Dec 2015 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–1 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Dec 2015 | Exeter City | 2–3 | Luton Town | A | ENG · League Two |
| 12 Dec 2015 | Crawley Town | 3–2 | Dagenham & Redbridge | H | ENG · League Two |
| 01 Dec 2015 | Bristol Rovers | 3–0 | Wycombe Wanderers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 21 Nov 2015 | Brentford | 2–1 | Nottingham Forest | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Nov 2015 | Reading | 2–2 | Huddersfield Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Oct 2015 | Cambridge United | 1–2 | Bristol Rovers | A | ENG · League Two |
| 17 Oct 2015 | Notts County | 2–0 | Yeovil Town | H | ENG · League Two |