▦ FDB4
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Match official

A Young

2015–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 235
Draws 72
Draw % 30.6% +6.3 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 235 matches (Aug 2015 – Oct 2026), A Young drew 72 where the draw model expected 64.7 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 62.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 90 26 28.9%
ENG · League One 73 28 38.4%
ENG · National League 72 18 25.0%
By season 12 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 7 2 28.6%
2025/26 14 6 42.9%
2024/25 21 3 14.3%
2023/24 12 2 16.7%
2022/23 26 7 26.9%
2021/22 15 4 26.7%
2020/21 26 8 30.8%
2019/20 22 12 54.5%
2018/19 30 12 40.0%
2017/18 24 7 29.2%
2016/17 21 4 19.0%
2015/16 17 5 29.4%
Latest matches last 50

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