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A Muir

2008–2024 · 3 competitions
Matches 278
Draws 79
Draw % 28.4% +4.1 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 278 matches (Apr 2008 – May 2024), A Muir drew 79 where the draw model expected 67.6 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 68.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
SCO · Scottish Premiership 202 53 26.2%
SCO · Scottish Championship 51 17 33.3%
SCO · Scottish League One 25 9 36.0%
By season 16 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2023/24 22 5 22.7%
2022/23 25 6 24.0%
2021/22 28 11 39.3%
2020/21 19 8 42.1%
2019/20 21 4 19.0%
2018/19 28 6 21.4%
2017/18 28 8 28.6%
2016/17 12 4 33.3%
2015/16 13 5 38.5%
2014/15 12 2 16.7%
2013/14 14 4 28.6%
2011/12 18 3 16.7%
2010/11 15 5 33.3%
2009/10 14 5 35.7%
2008/09 8 3 37.5%
2007/08 1 0 0.0%
Latest matches last 50

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