A Kitchen
Over 169 matches (Aug 2019 – Oct 2026), A Kitchen drew 53 where the draw model expected 46.4 from those particular fixtures — about 7 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 45.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 82 | 26 | 31.7% |
| ENG · League Two | 29 | 10 | 34.5% |
| ENG · League One | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| ENG · National League | 24 | 5 | 20.8% |
| ENG · Premier League | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| 2025/26 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2024/25 | 30 | 13 | 43.3% |
| 2023/24 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% |
| 2022/23 | 26 | 7 | 26.9% |
| 2021/22 | 24 | 9 | 37.5% |
| 2020/21 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% |
| 2019/20 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Swansea City | 2–1 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Charlton Athletic | 0–0 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Stoke City | 1–0 | Norwich City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Aug 2026 | West Ham United | 1–2 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Cardiff City | 1–1 | Wrexham | D | ENG · Championship |
| 24 May 2026 | Burnley | 1–1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Sheffield United | 2–3 | Preston North End | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Coventry City | 5–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Southampton | 2–1 | Derby County | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Watford | 1–1 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Millwall | 1–2 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Mar 2026 | Preston North End | 1–3 | Oxford United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Coventry City | 2–1 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1–1 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Blackpool | 1–0 | Mansfield Town | H | ENG · League One |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Derby County | 2–0 | Swansea City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Leicester City | 0–2 | Charlton Athletic | A | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Coventry City | 2–1 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Ipswich Town | 3–0 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 5–3 | Sheffield United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Birmingham City | 1–1 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Hull City | 2–0 | Wrexham | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Dec 2025 | Manchester United | 1–1 | West Ham United | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Swansea City | 1–2 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Coventry City | 3–2 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 3–0 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 01 Nov 2025 | Birmingham City | 4–0 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Hull City | 1–1 | Charlton Athletic | D | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Oct 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 2–1 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 2–1 | Burnley | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Ipswich Town | 2–1 | Portsmouth | H | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2–1 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 3–1 | Charlton Athletic | H | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Hull City | 3–2 | Oxford United | H | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Aug 2025 | Birmingham City | 1–1 | Ipswich Town | D | ENG · Championship |
| 18 May 2025 | Leicester City | 2–0 | Ipswich Town | H | ENG · Premier League |
| 03 May 2025 | Burnley | 3–1 | Millwall | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Cardiff City | 0–0 | West Bromwich Albion | D | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Apr 2025 | West Ham United | 1–1 | Southampton | D | ENG · Premier League |
| 14 Apr 2025 | Hull City | 1–1 | Coventry City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Apr 2025 | Middlesbrough | 0–1 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Burnley | 1–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | Sheffield United | A | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Derby County | 2–1 | Blackburn Rovers | H | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Watford | 2–0 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Preston North End | 0–0 | Burnley | D | ENG · Championship |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Sheffield United | 0–3 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2–0 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Blackburn Rovers | 0–1 | Burnley | A | ENG · Championship |