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A Herczeg

2020–2026 · 5 competitions
Matches 142
Draws 29
Draw % 20.4% -3.9 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 5
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 142 matches (Oct 2020 – Oct 2026), A Herczeg drew 29 where the draw model expected 38.6 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 38.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 5 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 45 10 22.2%
ENG · Championship 36 5 13.9%
ENG · League One 32 9 28.1%
ENG · National League 27 4 14.8%
ENG · Premier League 2 1 50.0%
By season 7 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 8 2 25.0%
2025/26 25 5 20.0%
2024/25 32 6 18.8%
2023/24 31 7 22.6%
2022/23 18 5 27.8%
2021/22 14 0 0.0%
2020/21 14 4 28.6%
Latest matches last 50

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