▦ FDB4
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Match official

A Davies

2009–2025 · 4 competitions
Matches 363
Draws 101
Draw % 27.8% +3.5 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 363 matches (Aug 2009 – Apr 2025), A Davies drew 101 where the draw model expected 100.5 from those particular fixtures — about 0 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 98.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Championship 218 63 28.9%
ENG · League One 57 13 22.8%
ENG · League Two 53 11 20.8%
ENG · National League 35 14 40.0%
By season 15 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2024/25 25 6 24.0%
2023/24 24 5 20.8%
2022/23 24 7 29.2%
2021/22 34 12 35.3%
2020/21 17 5 29.4%
2019/20 26 6 23.1%
2018/19 34 7 20.6%
2017/18 29 14 48.3%
2016/17 31 6 19.4%
2015/16 31 7 22.6%
2014/15 27 7 25.9%
2013/14 25 5 20.0%
2011/12 20 9 45.0%
2010/11 8 3 37.5%
2009/10 8 2 25.0%
Latest matches last 50

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