Neuchâtel Xamax
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 107 matches (Aug 2015 – Sep 2026), Neuchâtel Xamax drew 27 where the draw model expected 22.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 1.1 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 24.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 08 Dec 2018 → 31 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 11 May 2003 → 07 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 06 Mar 1997 → 21 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 05 Aug 2018 → 26 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 08 Jan 2026 → 25 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 03 Sep 1988 → 12 Mar 1989 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 7 | 16 Sep 1987 → 27 Mar 1988 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 19 Jul 2020 → 13 Sep 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 25 Aug 1985 → 12 Oct 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 20 Jun 2020 → 04 Jul 2020 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Cup | 220 | 37 | 16.8% | 1 | 6 |
| Super League | 74 | 22 | 29.7% | 5 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 4 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 7 | 7 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 6 |
| 2019 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2018 | 23 | 10 | 43.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 9 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1998 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1996 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1992 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1990 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1989 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1985 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 1984 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 7 | 4 | 57.1% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1941 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1940 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1934 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 12:00 |
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.