What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 426 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), RC Strasbourg drew 114 where the draw model expected 112.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 115.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 09 Sep 2019 → 09 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 01 Feb 2008 → 29 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 28 Sep 1996 → 22 Feb 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 14 Sep 2002 → 04 Dec 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 29 Apr 2000 → 23 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 20 Oct 2025 → 06 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 26 Apr 2025 → 14 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 01 Dec 2021 → 13 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 23 Aug 2020 → 22 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 17 Sep 1994 → 26 Nov 1994 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 802 | 232 | 28.9% | 1 | 20 |
| Ligue 2 | 190 | 60 | 31.6% | 1 | 11 |
| Coupe de France | 41 | 8 | 19.5% | 5 | 5 |
| UEFA Europa League | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 0 | 6 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 4 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2025 | 49 | 9 | 18.4% | 11 |
| 2024 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 7 |
| 2023 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 8 |
| 2022 | 39 | 15 | 38.5% | 7 |
| 2021 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 5 |
| 2020 | 28 | 4 | 14.3% | 11 |
| 2019 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 20 |
| 2018 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2017 | 41 | 13 | 31.7% | 4 |
| 2016 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 3 |
| 2009 | 40 | 12 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 21 |
| 2007 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 6 |
| 2006 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2005 | 48 | 17 | 35.4% | 5 |
| 2004 | 38 | 15 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 2003 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2002 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 12 |
| 2001 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 6 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 12 |
| 1999 | 33 | 10 | 30.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 33 | 13 | 39.4% | 5 |
| 1997 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 8 |
| 1996 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 15 |
| 1995 | 43 | 16 | 37.2% | 6 |
| 1994 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 11 |
| 1993 | 22 | 10 | 45.5% | 4 |
| 1980 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 13:00 |
OGC Nice
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 15:15 |
RC Strasbourg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:15 |
Stade Rennais
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 14:00 |
RC Strasbourg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Fri, 06 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Nov 19:45 |
Toulouse
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.