Stevenage
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 579 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Stevenage drew 167 where the draw model expected 164.2 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 155.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 08 Dec 2012 → 24 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 01 Jan 2010 → 24 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 19 Nov 2016 → 14 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 01 Mar 2008 → 12 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 14 Sep 2013 → 07 Dec 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Dec 2013 → 01 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 27 Jan 2026 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 16 Aug 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 19 Feb 2011 → 02 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 10 Feb 2007 → 03 Apr 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League Two | 450 | 130 | 28.9% | 6 | 16 |
| League One | 283 | 78 | 27.6% | 3 | 20 |
| National League | 224 | 50 | 22.3% | 20 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 74 | 20 | 27.0% | 1 | 4 |
| League Cup | 25 | 6 | 24.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2025 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 7 |
| 2023 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2022 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2021 | 55 | 22 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2020 | 35 | 13 | 37.1% | 9 |
| 2019 | 47 | 17 | 36.2% | 7 |
| 2018 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2017 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 10 |
| 2016 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2015 | 51 | 16 | 31.4% | 5 |
| 2014 | 51 | 10 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2013 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 17 |
| 2012 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 10 |
| 2011 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 2010 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 20 |
| 2009 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 7 |
| 2008 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 16 |
| 2007 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2006 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 7 |
| 2005 | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1998 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1997 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1995 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Bradford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Stevenage
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.