Stenhousemuir
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 472 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Stenhousemuir drew 113 where the draw model expected 109.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 103.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 Jul 2018 → 22 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 28 Oct 2023 → 03 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 12 Aug 2006 → 18 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 11 Oct 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Dec 2017 → 24 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Dec 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 21 Feb 2009 → 02 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 Dec 2003 → 23 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Aug 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 09 Sep 2000 → 25 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 612 | 149 | 24.3% | 3 | 18 |
| Scottish League Two | 410 | 102 | 24.9% | 1 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 66 | 10 | 15.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Scottish Championship | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 | 7 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2023 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 23 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2013 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2010 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2007 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 15 |
| 2005 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2001 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 1999 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Partick Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 30.3% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 19:30 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.7% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Greenock Morton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.