☆
· SCO · Scottish League Two
Team ☆
all results ›
SCO · Club
Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir FC
Played
1,152
Draw %
23.6%
No-draw N
0
Max streak
23
14 Jul 2018 → 22 Dec 2018
Avg top run
14.1
top 10
Draw debt E
0.00
p50
34.0%
p100
28.0%
Draw score
0.084
rank #1,653
Draws
272
Trophies
🥈 1 × Runner-up
(2025)
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,679
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,694
reached 25 Sep 2026
Rank
#336
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,152
last 17 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 18 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 474 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Stenhousemuir drew 114 where the draw model expected 110.0 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 104.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 23
14 Jul 2018 → 22 Dec 2018
2 15
28 Oct 2023 → 03 Feb 2024
3 15
12 Aug 2006 → 18 Nov 2006
4 14
11 Oct 2014 → 17 Jan 2015
5 13
23 Dec 2017 → 24 Mar 2018
6 13
26 Dec 2011 → 10 Mar 2012
7 12
21 Feb 2009 → 02 May 2009
8 12
13 Dec 2003 → 23 Mar 2004
9 12
30 Aug 2003 → 29 Nov 2003
10 12
09 Sep 2000 → 25 Nov 2000
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 Jul 2018 → 22 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 28 Oct 2023 → 03 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 12 Aug 2006 → 18 Nov 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 11 Oct 2014 → 17 Jan 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 23 Dec 2017 → 24 Mar 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 26 Dec 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 21 Feb 2009 → 02 May 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 13 Dec 2003 → 23 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Aug 2003 → 29 Nov 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 09 Sep 2000 → 25 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League One | 612 | 149 | 24.3% | 3 | 18 |
| Scottish League Two | 410 | 102 | 24.9% | 1 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 66 | 10 | 15.2% | 1 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 0 | 3 |
| Scottish Championship | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 8 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 12 | 34.3% | 8 |
| 2025 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 11 |
| 2023 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2022 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 10 |
| 2021 | 39 | 7 | 18.0% | 8 |
| 2020 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 6 |
| 2018 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 23 |
| 2017 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2016 | 42 | 7 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2015 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 11 |
| 2013 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2011 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 10 |
| 2010 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 9 |
| 2009 | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2007 | 37 | 5 | 13.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 39 | 5 | 12.8% | 15 |
| 2005 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2004 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2003 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 12 |
| 2002 | 39 | 11 | 28.2% | 5 |
| 2001 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 8 |
| 2000 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 12 |
| 1999 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 6 |
| 1997 | 18 | 5 | 27.8% | 7 |
Matches
all results ›
Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 24 Oct 14:00 |
Partick Thistle
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 27 Oct 19:45 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 30 Oct 19:30 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 07 Nov 15:00 |
Greenock Morton
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.1% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 14 Nov 15:00 |
Stenhousemuir
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 21 Nov 15:00 |
Arbroath
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.