St Mirren
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 518 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), St Mirren drew 125 where the draw model expected 124.2 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.1 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 121.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 24 Jan 2015 → 15 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 14 Feb 2006 → 12 Aug 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 09 Nov 2024 → 01 Feb 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 09 Jul 2022 → 08 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 Jul 2017 → 14 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 08 Apr 2007 → 16 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 09 Dec 2000 → 17 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 01 Apr 2000 → 09 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 16 Dec 1995 → 16 Mar 1996 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 23 Dec 2023 → 24 Feb 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish Premiership | 683 | 182 | 26.7% | 4 | 15 |
| Scottish Championship | 504 | 136 | 27.0% | 3 | 12 |
| Scottish League Cup | 84 | 16 | 19.1% | 5 | 6 |
| Scottish Cup | 74 | 20 | 27.0% | 0 | 4 |
| UEFA Europa League | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 1 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2025 | 46 | 15 | 32.6% | 6 |
| 2024 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 2022 | 42 | 8 | 19.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 50 | 21 | 42.0% | 7 |
| 2020 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 44 | 11 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2018 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2016 | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 9 |
| 2015 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 19 |
| 2014 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 9 |
| 2013 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 48 | 18 | 37.5% | 7 |
| 2011 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2010 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2009 | 43 | 13 | 30.2% | 9 |
| 2008 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 9 |
| 2007 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2006 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 15 |
| 2005 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 41 | 14 | 34.2% | 4 |
| 2003 | 37 | 14 | 37.8% | 4 |
| 2002 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2001 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2000 | 40 | 6 | 15.0% | 12 |
| 1999 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 8 |
| 1998 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 8 |
| 1997 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 9 |
| 1996 | 36 | 4 | 11.1% | 11 |
| 1995 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 7 |
| 1994 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Heart of Midlothian
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Aberdeen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
St Mirren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.5% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 19:45 |
St Mirren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Motherwell
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 20:00 |
St Mirren
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.