What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 461 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Sion drew 119 where the draw model expected 109.9 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 111.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 06 May 2023 → 10 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 05 May 2018 → 30 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 19 Oct 2013 → 22 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 04 Mar 2015 → 16 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 02 Mar 2011 → 29 Jul 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Sep 2021 → 30 Jan 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 05 Nov 2016 → 12 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 01 Jul 2026 → 15 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 03 Aug 2019 → 20 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 18 Nov 2017 → 24 Feb 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super League | 483 | 123 | 25.5% | 0 | 15 |
| Swiss Cup | 287 | 57 | 19.9% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 0 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Champions League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 4 |
| Challenge League | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 11 |
| 2025 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2024 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 6 |
| 2023 | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 10 |
| 2022 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 5 |
| 2021 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 11 |
| 2020 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 2019 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2018 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 16 |
| 2017 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 2016 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 9 |
| 2015 | 51 | 13 | 25.5% | 14 |
| 2014 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2012 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 2011 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2010 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 2008 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2005 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2000 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1996 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1995 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1994 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1993 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1985 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 1973 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1968 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1964 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1958 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1945 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1944 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1943 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1942 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 09:00 |
AS Saint-Étienne
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.