Sheffield United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 582 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Sheffield United drew 120 where the draw model expected 155.3 from those particular fixtures — about 35 fewer, or 3.3 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of Sheffield United.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 10 times running. A flat league average would have expected 153.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 26 Dec 2020 → 10 Aug 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 27 | 28 Mar 2017 → 21 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 25 | 07 Feb 2023 → 27 Aug 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 23 | 05 Nov 2011 → 10 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 22 Jul 2025 → 04 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 04 Jan 2003 → 12 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 01 Jan 2025 → 08 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 19 Feb 2011 → 25 Apr 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 30 Apr 2005 → 17 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 23 Aug 2003 → 18 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 1020 | 270 | 26.5% | 5 | 18 |
| FA Cup | 393 | 96 | 24.4% | 1 | 6 |
| League One | 276 | 76 | 27.5% | 7 | 19 |
| Premier League | 194 | 47 | 24.2% | 7 | 24 |
| League Cup | 182 | 39 | 21.4% | 3 | 7 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 5 | 33.3% | 0 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 50 | 4 | 8.0% | 17 |
| 2024 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2023 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 25 |
| 2022 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2021 | 51 | 6 | 11.8% | 28 |
| 2020 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 8 |
| 2019 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 5 |
| 2018 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 27 |
| 2016 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 6 |
| 2015 | 58 | 18 | 31.0% | 9 |
| 2014 | 59 | 16 | 27.1% | 9 |
| 2013 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 6 |
| 2012 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 14 |
| 2011 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 13 |
| 2010 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 5 |
| 2008 | 54 | 18 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2006 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 4 |
| 2005 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 12 |
| 2004 | 54 | 16 | 29.6% | 11 |
| 2003 | 55 | 10 | 18.2% | 15 |
| 2002 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2001 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 1999 | 54 | 15 | 27.8% | 9 |
| 1998 | 59 | 19 | 32.2% | 5 |
| 1997 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 5 |
| 1996 | 55 | 16 | 29.1% | 9 |
| 1995 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 9 |
| 1994 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1993 | 32 | 13 | 40.6% | 4 |
| 1992 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 1989 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1988 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1984 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 1 |
| 1982 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1981 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1980 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1978 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1965 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1962 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1960 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1959 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1958 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1950 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1946 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1936 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1924 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1915 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1914 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1906 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1905 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1902 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1901 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1900 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1898 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1896 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1895 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1894 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1893 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1892 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1891 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1890 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Sheffield United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 18:45 |
Portsmouth
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Bristol City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:30 |
Sheffield United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Fri, 30 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 30 Oct 20:00 |
Sheffield United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 03 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Nov 19:45 |
Preston North End
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
Charlton Athletic
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.