Sarpsborg 08
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 425 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Sarpsborg 08 drew 108 where the draw model expected 94.5 from those particular fixtures — about 13 more, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 96.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 24 Apr 2022 → 18 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 05 Oct 2025 → 22 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 04 Jun 2023 → 17 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 25 Jul 2021 → 06 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 21 Apr 2024 → 12 Jul 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 26 May 2013 → 29 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 22 Jul 2012 → 21 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 08 Jul 2018 → 16 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 24 Oct 2010 → 11 May 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 19 Apr 2008 → 05 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 443 | 123 | 27.8% | 1 | 20 |
| 1. divisjon | 118 | 24 | 20.3% | 3 | 13 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 75 | 8 | 10.7% | 2 | 10 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 10 |
| 2025 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 8 |
| 2024 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 14 |
| 2023 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 17 |
| 2022 | 34 | 5 | 14.7% | 22 |
| 2021 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 16 |
| 2020 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 2019 | 33 | 15 | 45.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 11 |
| 2017 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 7 |
| 2016 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 8 |
| 2015 | 37 | 12 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 14 |
| 2012 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 13 |
| 2011 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 8 |
| 2010 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 5 |
| 2009 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2008 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 9 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:00 |
Aalesunds FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 12:30 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 16.0% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup Round of 16 |
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:00 |
Hamarkameratene
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.8% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Nov 18:15 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Nov 16:00 |
IK Start
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 06 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Dec 13:30 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sun, 13 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Dec 16:00 |
FK Bodø/Glimt
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.