RB Leipzig
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 536 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), RB Leipzig drew 114 where the draw model expected 120.1 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 131.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 25 Feb 2023 → 27 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 01 Mar 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 22 | 04 Oct 2015 → 15 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 17 | 30 Sep 2016 → 25 Feb 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 21 Oct 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 20 Jan 2021 → 10 Mar 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 31 Oct 2018 → 09 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 23 Nov 2024 → 15 Jan 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 20 Aug 2022 → 05 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 17 May 2025 → 27 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 344 | 82 | 23.8% | 15 | 20 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 68 | 18 | 26.5% | 2 | 21 |
| UEFA Champions League | 55 | 6 | 10.9% | 1 | 10 |
| DFB-Pokal | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | 1 | 9 |
| 3. Liga | 38 | 7 | 18.4% | 4 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 5 | 5 |
| DFL-Supercup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 22 |
| 2025 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 2023 | 51 | 6 | 11.8% | 26 |
| 2022 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 10 |
| 2021 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2020 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 8 |
| 2019 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 2018 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 11 |
| 2017 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 7 |
| 2016 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 11 |
| 2015 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 8 |
| 2013 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 8 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 16:30 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 16:30 |
FC Bayern München
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 10.4% |
|
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 19:00 |
Real Madrid
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 13:30 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 17:00 |
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 14:30 |
Schalke 04
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 20:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 14:30 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Nov 14:30 |
1. FC Union Berlin
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.