Raufoss IL
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 291 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Raufoss IL drew 59 where the draw model expected 62.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 61.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 01 May 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 05 Jun 2016 → 30 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 26 May 2019 → 20 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 10 Aug 2025 → 02 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 28 Apr 2002 → 19 Jun 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 05 Aug 2001 → 28 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 13 | 07 May 1998 → 05 Jul 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 21 Jul 2021 → 29 Sep 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 18 Apr 2004 → 13 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 01 Jul 1957 → 20 Oct 1957 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. divisjon | 491 | 97 | 19.8% | 20 | 22 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 246 | 46 | 18.7% | 2 | 5 |
| Eliteserien | 104 | 24 | 23.1% | 4 | 8 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | 1 | 4.0% | 22 |
| 2025 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 13 |
| 2024 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 9 |
| 2023 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 9 |
| 2022 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2020 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2019 | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 19 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 31 | 3 | 9.7% | 20 |
| 2015 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2012 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2010 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2007 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 12 |
| 2003 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 8 |
| 2002 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 13 |
| 2001 | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 13 |
| 2000 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 9 |
| 1999 | 31 | 8 | 25.8% | 7 |
| 1998 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 13 |
| 1997 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1986 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 1976 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 9 |
| 1973 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 5 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 7 |
| 1963 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1960 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1959 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1958 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 1957 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 1956 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1951 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1945 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1940 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1934 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 03 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 03 Oct 14:00 |
Sogndal IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| 03 Oct 16:00 |
Raufoss IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.2% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Tue, 06 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 06 Oct 15:00 |
Raufoss IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.2% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:00 |
Raufoss IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 17:00 |
Bryne FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 18 Oct 15:00 |
IL Hødd
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Wed, 21 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 21 Oct 17:00 |
Sogndal IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.2% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 12:00 |
Raufoss IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
Raufoss IL
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.2% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:00 |
Lyn Fotball
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.3% | NOR · 1. divisjon |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.