PSV Eindhoven
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 576 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), PSV Eindhoven drew 110 where the draw model expected 98.7 from those particular fixtures — about 11 more, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 131.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 36 | 01 Dec 2013 → 20 Oct 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 26 | 25 Nov 2014 → 17 May 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 24 | 21 Mar 2012 → 20 Oct 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 20 Apr 2008 → 26 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 15 Mar 2025 → 16 Sep 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 15 Oct 2006 → 23 Dec 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 15 | 11 Sep 2022 → 30 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 28 Jan 2026 → 23 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 04 Dec 2021 → 20 Feb 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 20 Mar 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 1121 | 207 | 18.5% | 6 | 32 |
| UEFA Champions League | 198 | 51 | 25.8% | 0 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 177 | 39 | 22.0% | 7 | 10 |
| KNVB Cup | 64 | 6 | 9.4% | 4 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 3 | 5 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 0 | 6 |
| Johan Cruyff Shield | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 14 |
| 2025 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 18 |
| 2024 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2023 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2022 | 53 | 6 | 11.3% | 15 |
| 2021 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 9 |
| 2020 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 5 |
| 2018 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 12 |
| 2017 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2016 | 48 | 12 | 25.0% | 14 |
| 2015 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 20 |
| 2014 | 47 | 3 | 6.4% | 32 |
| 2013 | 44 | 8 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2012 | 50 | 5 | 10.0% | 24 |
| 2011 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 9 |
| 2010 | 51 | 14 | 27.5% | 6 |
| 2009 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 10 |
| 2008 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 19 |
| 2007 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2006 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 17 |
| 2005 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 9 |
| 2004 | 43 | 5 | 11.6% | 12 |
| 2003 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 8 |
| 2002 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2001 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 11 |
| 2000 | 45 | 6 | 13.3% | 10 |
| 1999 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 7 |
| 1998 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 9 |
| 1997 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 8 |
| 1996 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 1995 | 44 | 7 | 15.9% | 11 |
| 1994 | 35 | 11 | 31.4% | 10 |
| 1993 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1988 | 8 | 6 | 75.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1986 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 10 |
| 1976 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 09 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 09 Oct 18:00 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Tue, 13 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Oct 19:00 |
RB Leipzig
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:30 |
ADO Den Haag
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 11.1% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Porto
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 13:30 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:45 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 6.6% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 20:00 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:45 |
SC Cambuur
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 9.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.