☆
· ITL · UEFA Europa League
Team ☆
all results ›
Played
1,291
Draw %
21.8%
No-draw N
4
Max streak
20
10 Mar 2000 → 12 Nov 2000
Avg top run
15.4
top 10
Draw debt E
0.98
p50
24.0%
p100
25.0%
Draw score
0.214
rank #705
Draws
281
Trophies
Team strength · Elo
all ratings ›
Rating
1,877
everyone starts at 1500
Peak
1,924
reached 27 Feb 2022
Rank
#79
of 14,598 clubs
Matches rated
1,291
last 15 Oct 2026
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 16 Oct 2026.
Recent form · draws highlighted
Luck or skill
how this is worked out ›
Over 550 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), AZ Alkmaar drew 115 where the draw model expected 110.7 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 124.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
Longest no-draw runs
all on the records page ›
1 20
10 Mar 2000 → 12 Nov 2000
2 18
13 Jan 2021 → 08 May 2021
3 17
27 Jan 2015 → 09 Aug 2015
4 16
17 Feb 2018 → 25 Aug 2018
5 15
09 Sep 2010 → 31 Oct 2010
6 15
19 Apr 2005 → 20 Sep 2005
7 14
14 Apr 2017 → 01 Oct 2017
8 13
14 Feb 2026 → 19 Apr 2026
9 13
15 Sep 2022 → 12 Nov 2022
10 13
09 Dec 2019 → 01 Mar 2020
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 10 Mar 2000 → 12 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 18 | 13 Jan 2021 → 08 May 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 27 Jan 2015 → 09 Aug 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 17 Feb 2018 → 25 Aug 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 09 Sep 2010 → 31 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 19 Apr 2005 → 20 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 14 Apr 2017 → 01 Oct 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 13 | 14 Feb 2026 → 19 Apr 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 15 Sep 2022 → 12 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 09 Dec 2019 → 01 Mar 2020 | ▸ matches |
By competition (all-time)
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eredivisie | 985 | 213 | 21.6% | 2 | 20 |
| UEFA Europa League | 156 | 43 | 27.6% | 2 | 8 |
| KNVB Cup | 75 | 10 | 13.3% | 2 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 44 | 4 | 9.1% | 0 | 18 |
| Club Friendlies | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Johan Cruyff Shield | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
By calendar year
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 11 | 26.2% | 13 |
| 2025 | 60 | 15 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2024 | 45 | 11 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2023 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 12 |
| 2022 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 13 |
| 2021 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 18 |
| 2020 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 2019 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2018 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 16 |
| 2017 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 14 |
| 2016 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2015 | 47 | 6 | 12.8% | 17 |
| 2014 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2012 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2011 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 9 |
| 2010 | 47 | 10 | 21.3% | 15 |
| 2009 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 12 |
| 2008 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 10 |
| 2007 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 7 |
| 2006 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2005 | 46 | 8 | 17.4% | 15 |
| 2004 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 12 |
| 2003 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 8 |
| 2002 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 20 |
| 1999 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 10 |
| 1998 | 19 | 10 | 52.6% | 3 |
| 1997 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1996 | 20 | 3 | 15.0% | 10 |
| 1982 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1981 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
Matches
all results ›
1,291 matches · page 1 / 33
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Upcoming fixtures
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 18 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 18 Oct 12:30 |
SC Cambuur
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Oct 16:45 |
Ararat-Armenia
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 25 Oct 19:00 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 31 Oct 20:00 |
Ajax
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.2% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 05 Nov 20:00 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 08 Nov 15:45 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 18.2% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| ☆ 22 Nov 13:30 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.