Peterborough United
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 592 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Peterborough United drew 126 where the draw model expected 156.3 from those particular fixtures — about 30 fewer, or 2.8 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 8 times running. A flat league average would have expected 156.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 12 Mar 2016 → 27 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 14 Aug 2012 → 17 Nov 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 19 | 03 Nov 2007 → 02 Feb 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 18 | 30 Aug 2025 → 26 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 18 | 15 Apr 2022 → 01 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 18 | 02 Jan 2010 → 03 Apr 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 17 | 03 Feb 2024 → 23 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 15 | 22 Feb 2014 → 26 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 08 Jan 2017 → 11 Mar 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 20 Aug 2011 → 05 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 1009 | 243 | 24.1% | 2 | 17 |
| League Two | 276 | 67 | 24.3% | 4 | 15 |
| FA Cup | 254 | 60 | 23.6% | 2 | 4 |
| Championship | 230 | 53 | 23.0% | 5 | 17 |
| League Cup | 179 | 42 | 23.5% | 0 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 1 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 11 |
| 2025 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 18 |
| 2024 | 48 | 5 | 10.4% | 17 |
| 2023 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 2022 | 54 | 9 | 16.7% | 18 |
| 2021 | 52 | 11 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 2020 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 10 |
| 2019 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 11 |
| 2018 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 13 |
| 2017 | 54 | 11 | 20.4% | 14 |
| 2016 | 57 | 12 | 21.1% | 22 |
| 2015 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2014 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 15 |
| 2013 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 50 | 7 | 14.0% | 19 |
| 2011 | 53 | 12 | 22.6% | 14 |
| 2010 | 49 | 5 | 10.2% | 18 |
| 2009 | 52 | 14 | 26.9% | 10 |
| 2008 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2007 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 12 |
| 2006 | 51 | 9 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 2005 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 10 |
| 2004 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 8 |
| 2002 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 10 |
| 2001 | 52 | 16 | 30.8% | 12 |
| 2000 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 8 |
| 1999 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 1997 | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 7 |
| 1996 | 59 | 17 | 28.8% | 8 |
| 1995 | 51 | 18 | 35.3% | 7 |
| 1994 | 53 | 16 | 30.2% | 7 |
| 1993 | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 4 |
| 1992 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 1982 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 1981 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1980 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1979 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1978 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1977 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1976 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 1974 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1973 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 8 |
| 1964 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1955 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Leicester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 11:30 |
Peterborough United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Huddersfield Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Bromley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Tue, 27 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 27 Oct 19:45 |
Bradford City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Peterborough United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 14 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Nov 15:00 |
Peterborough United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.1% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.