Olympique de Marseille
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 560 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Olympique de Marseille drew 140 where the draw model expected 140.3 from those particular fixtures — about 0 fewer, or 0.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 146.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 06 Mar 2022 → 01 May 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 22 Mar 2015 → 13 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 17 Aug 2014 → 28 Nov 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 26 Jan 2025 → 27 Apr 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 17 Oct 2020 → 16 Dec 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 02 May 2026 → 20 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 15 Aug 2025 → 25 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 18 Feb 2024 → 18 Apr 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 02 Sep 2018 → 25 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 12 | 22 Oct 2003 → 09 Dec 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligue 1 | 1141 | 305 | 26.7% | 8 | 24 |
| UEFA Europa League | 122 | 35 | 28.7% | 1 | 10 |
| UEFA Champions League | 121 | 19 | 15.7% | 8 | 8 |
| Coupe de France | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 3 | 3 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Trophée des Champions | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 12 |
| 2025 | 47 | 7 | 14.9% | 13 |
| 2024 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 12 |
| 2023 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 57 | 8 | 14.0% | 14 |
| 2021 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2020 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2019 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2017 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 5 |
| 2016 | 46 | 19 | 41.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 14 |
| 2014 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 14 |
| 2013 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2012 | 56 | 11 | 19.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 6 |
| 2010 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 8 |
| 2009 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 8 |
| 2008 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 2006 | 42 | 13 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 2005 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 10 |
| 2004 | 43 | 12 | 27.9% | 6 |
| 2003 | 49 | 7 | 14.3% | 12 |
| 2002 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 31 | 12 | 38.7% | 4 |
| 2000 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 9 |
| 1999 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 6 |
| 1998 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 1997 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 23 | 9 | 39.1% | 3 |
| 1994 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1993 | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 9 |
| 1992 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1991 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1990 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1987 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.