What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 5 Oct 2026.
Over 703 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Liverpool drew 154 where the draw model expected 145.5 from those particular fixtures — about 9 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 171.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 13 Feb 1982 → 05 Oct 1983 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 25 Apr 2009 → 31 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 20 | 15 Aug 2025 → 30 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 19 | 10 Mar 2019 → 21 Jul 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 17 | 21 Jan 2021 → 10 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 17 | 19 Dec 2004 → 09 Mar 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 16 | 06 Nov 2018 → 19 Jan 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 20 Oct 1998 → 03 Jan 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 25 Nov 2012 → 27 Jan 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 16 Mar 2002 → 24 Aug 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1267 | 312 | 24.6% | 1 | 20 |
| FA Cup | 453 | 109 | 24.1% | 4 | 6 |
| UEFA Champions League | 269 | 52 | 19.3% | 1 | 14 |
| League Cup | 263 | 63 | 24.0% | 1 | 8 |
| UEFA Europa League | 134 | 34 | 25.4% | 10 | 13 |
| Club Friendlies | 55 | 6 | 10.9% | 5 | 7 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 3 | 4 |
| FA Community Shield | 25 | 9 | 36.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Super Cup | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Intercontinental Cup (Toyota Cup) | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 12 |
| 2025 | 59 | 9 | 15.3% | 20 |
| 2024 | 62 | 11 | 17.7% | 12 |
| 2023 | 60 | 14 | 23.3% | 9 |
| 2022 | 67 | 12 | 17.9% | 10 |
| 2021 | 59 | 10 | 17.0% | 17 |
| 2020 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2019 | 65 | 12 | 18.5% | 19 |
| 2018 | 59 | 9 | 15.3% | 12 |
| 2017 | 56 | 19 | 33.9% | 6 |
| 2016 | 62 | 16 | 25.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 59 | 19 | 32.2% | 6 |
| 2014 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 13 |
| 2013 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 7 |
| 2012 | 62 | 14 | 22.6% | 10 |
| 2011 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2010 | 57 | 18 | 31.6% | 7 |
| 2009 | 55 | 12 | 21.8% | 21 |
| 2008 | 59 | 20 | 33.9% | 10 |
| 2007 | 56 | 12 | 21.4% | 11 |
| 2006 | 60 | 10 | 16.7% | 13 |
| 2005 | 63 | 14 | 22.2% | 14 |
| 2004 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 10 |
| 2003 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 12 |
| 2002 | 64 | 18 | 28.1% | 14 |
| 2001 | 62 | 17 | 27.4% | 9 |
| 2000 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 1999 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 15 |
| 1997 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 9 |
| 1996 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 9 |
| 1995 | 59 | 16 | 27.1% | 7 |
| 1994 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 1993 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 10 |
| 1992 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 20 | 6 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 1990 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1989 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1988 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 9 |
| 1987 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 17 | 6 | 35.3% | 4 |
| 1985 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 1984 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 6 |
| 1983 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 13 |
| 1982 | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 13 |
| 1981 | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1980 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1979 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 6 |
| 1977 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 1976 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1975 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 1974 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1973 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 1972 | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 3 |
| 1971 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 1970 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 3 |
| 1969 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1968 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 6 |
| 1967 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 1966 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 18 | 7 | 38.9% | 4 |
| 1964 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1962 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1957 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1954 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1949 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1948 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1947 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1946 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1939 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1938 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1932 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1928 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1924 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1923 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1920 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1915 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1914 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1913 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1909 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1908 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1907 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1906 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1905 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1904 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1901 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1900 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1899 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1898 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1897 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1896 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1895 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1894 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:30 |
Liverpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Wed, 14 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 14 Oct 16:45 |
LASK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Brentford
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Liverpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.6% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 14:00 |
Liverpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 20:00 |
Liverpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 16:30 |
Liverpool
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Wed, 04 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 04 Nov 17:45 |
Fenerbahce
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 14:00 |
Crystal Palace
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Sat, 08 May 2027 | ||||||
| 08 May 14:00 |
Manchester City
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.