Hertha BSC
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 453 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), Hertha BSC drew 113 where the draw model expected 111.0 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 114.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 25 Feb 2017 → 26 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 10 Dec 2000 → 06 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 29 Aug 2025 → 07 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 30 May 2020 → 24 Oct 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 15 | 14 Apr 2007 → 28 Sep 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 14 | 27 May 2023 → 01 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 15 Oct 2022 → 05 Mar 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 22 May 2021 → 29 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 21 Dec 2011 → 31 Mar 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 02 Mar 2003 → 02 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 816 | 203 | 24.9% | 1 | 17 |
| 2. Bundesliga | 316 | 87 | 27.5% | 10 | 12 |
| UEFA Europa League | 80 | 21 | 26.3% | 1 | 5 |
| DFB-Pokal | 54 | 17 | 31.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 1 | 3 |
| UEFA Champions League | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 29 | 8 | 27.6% | 5 |
| 2025 | 39 | 9 | 23.1% | 15 |
| 2024 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 39 | 8 | 20.5% | 14 |
| 2022 | 35 | 9 | 25.7% | 10 |
| 2021 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 14 |
| 2020 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 15 |
| 2019 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 17 |
| 2016 | 39 | 10 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2015 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 12 |
| 2014 | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2012 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 12 |
| 2011 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2010 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2009 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2008 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 8 |
| 2007 | 37 | 4 | 10.8% | 15 |
| 2006 | 41 | 16 | 39.0% | 6 |
| 2005 | 42 | 14 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2004 | 34 | 12 | 35.3% | 6 |
| 2003 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 13 |
| 2002 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 9 |
| 2001 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2000 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 10 |
| 1999 | 43 | 17 | 39.5% | 5 |
| 1998 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 10 |
| 1997 | 37 | 7 | 18.9% | 7 |
| 1996 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 8 |
| 1995 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 12 |
| 1994 | 36 | 13 | 36.1% | 6 |
| 1993 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 1978 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, 02 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 02 Oct 11:00 |
Augsburg
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:30 |
Hertha BSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Fri, 16 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 16 Oct 16:30 |
Holstein Kiel
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 11:00 |
Hertha BSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.4% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
SSV Jeddeloh II
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.9% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 12:00 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 19:30 |
Hertha BSC
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.