Gillingham
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 581 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), Gillingham drew 177 where the draw model expected 162.1 from those particular fixtures — about 15 more, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 154.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 09 Mar 1999 → 14 Aug 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 25 Aug 2001 → 27 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 03 Oct 2023 → 16 Dec 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 29 Apr 2023 → 23 Sep 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 03 Jan 2014 → 11 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 30 Oct 2010 → 15 Jan 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Nov 2020 → 16 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 22 Oct 2005 → 17 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 16 Mar 2004 → 01 May 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 08 Feb 1998 → 31 Mar 1998 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| League One | 771 | 210 | 27.2% | 2 | 15 |
| League Two | 507 | 153 | 30.2% | 0 | 11 |
| FA Cup | 260 | 67 | 25.8% | 0 | 5 |
| Championship | 230 | 63 | 27.4% | 0 | 12 |
| League Cup | 164 | 35 | 21.3% | 1 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 7 | 20.6% | 10 |
| 2025 | 49 | 26 | 53.1% | 4 |
| 2024 | 47 | 11 | 23.4% | 10 |
| 2023 | 53 | 7 | 13.2% | 13 |
| 2022 | 55 | 20 | 36.4% | 8 |
| 2021 | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 6 |
| 2020 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 50 | 17 | 34.0% | 5 |
| 2018 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 5 |
| 2017 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 8 |
| 2016 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2015 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 6 |
| 2014 | 48 | 10 | 20.8% | 12 |
| 2013 | 50 | 14 | 28.0% | 10 |
| 2012 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 7 |
| 2011 | 53 | 17 | 32.1% | 7 |
| 2010 | 45 | 15 | 33.3% | 8 |
| 2009 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 8 |
| 2008 | 50 | 16 | 32.0% | 10 |
| 2007 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2006 | 50 | 10 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2005 | 49 | 17 | 34.7% | 11 |
| 2004 | 50 | 6 | 12.0% | 11 |
| 2003 | 52 | 13 | 25.0% | 10 |
| 2002 | 50 | 13 | 26.0% | 8 |
| 2001 | 53 | 15 | 28.3% | 14 |
| 2000 | 57 | 15 | 26.3% | 9 |
| 1999 | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 16 |
| 1998 | 47 | 17 | 36.2% | 11 |
| 1997 | 50 | 12 | 24.0% | 10 |
| 1996 | 61 | 18 | 29.5% | 9 |
| 1995 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 5 |
| 1994 | 48 | 16 | 33.3% | 11 |
| 1993 | 27 | 8 | 29.6% | 8 |
| 1992 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1986 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1985 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1984 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1982 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1981 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1979 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1970 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1969 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1962 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1957 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1956 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1955 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1948 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 |
| 1946 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1935 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1926 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1925 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1922 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1911 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1907 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1899 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Rotherham United
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.2% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Accrington Stanley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 19:00 |
Gillingham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 32.0% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Gillingham
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Shrewsbury Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.7% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.