KAA Gent
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Oct 2026.
Over 522 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), KAA Gent drew 125 where the draw model expected 120.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 122.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 24 Nov 2002 → 16 Aug 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 20 | 16 May 1999 → 19 Dec 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 09 Mar 2025 → 09 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 17 Mar 2024 → 18 Aug 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 16 | 30 Oct 2013 → 01 Feb 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 15 | 09 Dec 2015 → 26 Feb 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 14 | 09 Aug 2020 → 05 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 14 | 01 Apr 2000 → 06 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 13 | 23 Sep 2009 → 23 Dec 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 13 | 15 May 2004 → 07 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 1031 | 258 | 25.0% | 1 | 30 |
| Belgian Cup | 174 | 26 | 14.9% | 3 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 80 | 21 | 26.3% | 6 | 6 |
| UEFA Conference League | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Champions League | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 7 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Club Friendlies | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 32 | 10 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2025 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 17 |
| 2024 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 16 |
| 2023 | 51 | 15 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 2022 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 12 |
| 2021 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2020 | 35 | 3 | 8.6% | 14 |
| 2019 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 7 |
| 2018 | 37 | 8 | 21.6% | 8 |
| 2017 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 9 |
| 2016 | 49 | 11 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2015 | 42 | 10 | 23.8% | 8 |
| 2014 | 36 | 10 | 27.8% | 8 |
| 2013 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2012 | 41 | 12 | 29.3% | 7 |
| 2011 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 10 |
| 2010 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 11 |
| 2009 | 46 | 6 | 13.0% | 13 |
| 2008 | 43 | 11 | 25.6% | 6 |
| 2007 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 10 |
| 2006 | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 8 |
| 2005 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 9 |
| 2004 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 13 |
| 2003 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 18 |
| 2002 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2001 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 9 |
| 2000 | 40 | 8 | 20.0% | 14 |
| 1999 | 34 | 3 | 8.8% | 20 |
| 1998 | 39 | 14 | 35.9% | 4 |
| 1997 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 1996 | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 7 |
| 1995 | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 4 |
| 1991 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1983 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1982 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1973 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1965 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1964 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
SV Zulte Waregem
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
| Thu, 15 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 15 Oct 16:45 |
KAA Gent
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.3% |
|
| Thu, 22 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Oct 19:00 |
SC Braga
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 21.9% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 17:30 |
KAA Gent
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 17:30 |
Lommel SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 24.9% |
|
| Thu, 05 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Nov 17:45 |
KuPS Kuopio
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 15:00 |
KAA Gent
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.