KRC Genk
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 506 matches (Jan 2015 – Oct 2026), KRC Genk drew 123 where the draw model expected 115.4 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 119.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 08 Dec 1996 → 18 May 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 03 Aug 2024 → 23 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 14 Mar 2007 → 11 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 23 Nov 2008 → 15 Feb 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 15 Jan 2000 → 08 Apr 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 26 Apr 1998 → 12 Sep 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 11 Sep 2022 → 13 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 16 Sep 2021 → 31 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 18 Sep 2015 → 28 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 21 Dec 2013 → 08 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 998 | 239 | 24.0% | 1 | 21 |
| Belgian Cup | 113 | 30 | 26.6% | 0 | 9 |
| UEFA Europa League | 88 | 19 | 21.6% | 2 | 9 |
| UEFA Champions League | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 4 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 | 8 |
| UEFA Conference League | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Cup Winners' Cup | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 0 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 10 | 26.3% | 10 |
| 2025 | 58 | 14 | 24.1% | 7 |
| 2024 | 44 | 9 | 20.5% | 15 |
| 2023 | 46 | 16 | 34.8% | 5 |
| 2022 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 11 |
| 2021 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 11 |
| 2020 | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 9 |
| 2019 | 40 | 10 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 10 |
| 2017 | 39 | 16 | 41.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2015 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2014 | 31 | 9 | 29.0% | 9 |
| 2013 | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 9 |
| 2012 | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 10 |
| 2011 | 36 | 11 | 30.6% | 7 |
| 2010 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2009 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 8 |
| 2008 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 7 |
| 2007 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 14 |
| 2006 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2005 | 44 | 10 | 22.7% | 11 |
| 2004 | 35 | 10 | 28.6% | 8 |
| 2003 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2002 | 44 | 17 | 38.6% | 6 |
| 2001 | 39 | 13 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2000 | 45 | 8 | 17.8% | 13 |
| 1999 | 40 | 9 | 22.5% | 9 |
| 1998 | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 12 |
| 1997 | 34 | 4 | 11.8% | 15 |
| 1996 | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 5 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 18:45 |
KRC Genk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 14.3% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 12:30 |
KRC Genk
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
KV Mechelen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 25.1% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 17:30 |
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.