KAS Eupen
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 298 matches (Aug 2015 – Aug 2026), KAS Eupen drew 60 where the draw model expected 65.7 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 70.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 22 Sep 2018 → 09 Feb 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 17 | 23 Jul 2022 → 08 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 14 | 10 Dec 2023 → 16 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 29 Jan 2017 → 09 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 05 Aug 2023 → 31 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 07 Aug 2021 → 30 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 29 Oct 2019 → 11 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 10 Feb 2018 → 01 Sep 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 26 Aug 2016 → 23 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 7 | 13 Apr 2024 → 30 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 287 | 63 | 22.0% | 5 | 18 |
| Belgian Cup | 105 | 16 | 15.2% | 2 | 6 |
| Club Friendlies | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 18 | 1 | 5.6% | 10 |
| 2023 | 37 | 9 | 24.3% | 12 |
| 2022 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 17 |
| 2021 | 45 | 10 | 22.2% | 12 |
| 2020 | 27 | 10 | 37.0% | 6 |
| 2019 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 2018 | 33 | 3 | 9.1% | 17 |
| 2017 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 14 |
| 2016 | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 8 |
| 2015 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2011 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 2010 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2006 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2005 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1972 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 01 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Oct 11:30 |
KAS Eupen
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.