East Kilbride
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 100 matches (Sep 2014 – Sep 2026), East Kilbride drew 16 where the draw model expected 19.3 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 19.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 17 Jan 2026 → 21 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 10 | 04 Apr 2026 → 01 Aug 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 9 | 12 Jul 2025 → 30 Aug 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 15 Aug 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 16 Jul 2024 → 02 Dec 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 18 Oct 2025 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 23 Jul 2019 → 18 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 22 Jul 2017 → 18 Nov 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 06 Dec 2025 → 20 Dec 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 17 Sep 2022 → 26 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 36 | 6 | 16.7% | 5 | 12 |
| Scottish Cup | 32 | 4 | 12.5% | 1 | 3 |
| Scottish League Cup | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish League One | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 | 6 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 30 | 2 | 6.7% | 12 |
| 2025 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 9 |
| 2024 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2020 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2016 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2014 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.