Sporting Charleroi
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 416 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Sporting Charleroi drew 107 where the draw model expected 103.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 more, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 100.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 19 Mar 2022 → 15 Oct 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 15 Dec 2002 → 21 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 12 Aug 2000 → 25 Nov 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 03 Apr 1999 → 17 Sep 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 19 Aug 2025 → 22 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 12 | 14 Apr 2024 → 15 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 25 Nov 2012 → 03 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 15 Oct 2005 → 22 Jan 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 29 Nov 1997 → 28 Feb 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 26 Sep 2018 → 05 Dec 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgian Pro League | 996 | 256 | 25.7% | 8 | 15 |
| Belgian Cup | 93 | 15 | 16.1% | 1 | 4 |
| Club Friendlies | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| UEFA Europa League | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Inter-Cities Fairs Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| UEFA Conference League | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2025 | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 13 |
| 2024 | 37 | 6 | 16.2% | 12 |
| 2023 | 38 | 11 | 29.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 15 |
| 2021 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 9 |
| 2020 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 6 |
| 2019 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 6 |
| 2018 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 11 |
| 2017 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% | 6 |
| 2016 | 30 | 10 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 7 |
| 2014 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2013 | 29 | 10 | 34.5% | 6 |
| 2012 | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 8 |
| 2011 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2010 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2009 | 37 | 11 | 29.7% | 9 |
| 2008 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 9 |
| 2007 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 10 |
| 2006 | 37 | 13 | 35.1% | 5 |
| 2005 | 40 | 11 | 27.5% | 11 |
| 2004 | 35 | 7 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2003 | 34 | 10 | 29.4% | 12 |
| 2002 | 35 | 8 | 22.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 34 | 6 | 17.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 36 | 7 | 19.4% | 15 |
| 1999 | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 14 |
| 1998 | 35 | 15 | 42.9% | 7 |
| 1997 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1996 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 10 |
| 1995 | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 5 |
| 1994 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1978 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1977 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1970 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 11:30 |
Standard Liège
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.3% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Royal Antwerp
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.9% |
|
| Sun, 01 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 01 Nov 18:15 |
Sporting Charleroi
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.9% |
|
| Sat, 07 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 07 Nov 15:00 |
KVC Westerlo
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 27.0% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.