Barnsley
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 2 Oct 2026.
Over 595 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Barnsley drew 148 where the draw model expected 160.4 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 1.2 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 158.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 01 Oct 2011 → 25 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 22 | 13 Jan 2007 → 14 Aug 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 22 | 05 Feb 1994 → 13 Aug 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 20 | 27 Oct 2020 → 23 Jan 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 19 | 13 Dec 2014 → 14 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 19 | 08 Mar 2008 → 16 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 18 | 22 Apr 1997 → 25 Oct 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 16 | 22 Oct 1994 → 04 Feb 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 14 | 28 Dec 2009 → 06 Mar 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 14 | 22 Apr 2000 → 19 Sep 2000 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Championship | 966 | 254 | 26.3% | 5 | 25 |
| League One | 513 | 146 | 28.5% | 0 | 17 |
| FA Cup | 303 | 77 | 25.4% | 3 | 5 |
| League Cup | 169 | 40 | 23.7% | 0 | 6 |
| Premier League | 38 | 5 | 13.2% | 3 | 12 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 1 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 14 | 36.8% | 5 |
| 2025 | 48 | 9 | 18.8% | 8 |
| 2024 | 52 | 15 | 28.8% | 6 |
| 2023 | 51 | 12 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2022 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 12 |
| 2021 | 53 | 14 | 26.4% | 11 |
| 2020 | 48 | 8 | 16.7% | 15 |
| 2019 | 49 | 16 | 32.7% | 9 |
| 2018 | 49 | 12 | 24.5% | 8 |
| 2017 | 52 | 18 | 34.6% | 7 |
| 2016 | 53 | 11 | 20.8% | 11 |
| 2015 | 52 | 10 | 19.2% | 15 |
| 2014 | 50 | 11 | 22.0% | 10 |
| 2013 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 8 |
| 2012 | 50 | 9 | 18.0% | 10 |
| 2011 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 15 |
| 2010 | 48 | 11 | 22.9% | 13 |
| 2009 | 47 | 14 | 29.8% | 9 |
| 2008 | 53 | 9 | 17.0% | 19 |
| 2007 | 49 | 10 | 20.4% | 22 |
| 2006 | 52 | 17 | 32.7% | 8 |
| 2005 | 51 | 22 | 43.1% | 5 |
| 2004 | 51 | 19 | 37.3% | 8 |
| 2003 | 50 | 15 | 30.0% | 9 |
| 2002 | 47 | 15 | 31.9% | 8 |
| 2001 | 51 | 11 | 21.6% | 10 |
| 2000 | 53 | 13 | 24.5% | 14 |
| 1999 | 56 | 15 | 26.8% | 12 |
| 1998 | 55 | 14 | 25.5% | 11 |
| 1997 | 47 | 9 | 19.2% | 18 |
| 1996 | 53 | 20 | 37.7% | 8 |
| 1995 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 8 |
| 1994 | 56 | 9 | 16.1% | 22 |
| 1993 | 29 | 9 | 31.0% | 7 |
| 1992 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1991 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1990 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 1989 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 2 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1984 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1983 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1982 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1981 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 1980 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1978 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1975 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1973 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1972 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1970 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1969 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1968 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 1 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1965 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1963 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1962 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1961 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1960 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1959 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1957 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1956 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1953 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1949 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1948 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1939 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1938 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1936 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1935 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1932 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1931 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1929 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1928 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1927 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1925 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1923 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1922 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1921 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1920 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1915 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1914 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1913 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1912 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 3 |
| 1911 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1909 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1908 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1907 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1906 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1903 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1897 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1895 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 10 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 10 Oct 14:00 |
Stockport County
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Barnsley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 29.0% |
|
| Tue, 20 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 20 Oct 18:45 |
Luton Town
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.8% |
|
| Sat, 24 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 24 Oct 14:00 |
Reading
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.4% |
|
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 15:00 |
Barnsley
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 28.8% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.