Annan Athletic
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 473 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Annan Athletic drew 101 where the draw model expected 104.5 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 102.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 29 Oct 2016 → 22 Jul 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 19 | 26 Oct 2019 → 29 Feb 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 16 | 05 Feb 2022 → 09 Jul 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 15 | 13 Jul 2021 → 30 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 14 | 01 Feb 2025 → 03 May 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 30 Aug 2008 → 20 Dec 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 12 | 11 Jul 2026 → 19 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 12 | 09 Apr 2016 → 20 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 12 | 08 Feb 2014 → 12 Apr 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 27 Dec 2014 → 07 Mar 2015 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish League Two | 561 | 128 | 22.8% | 8 | 32 |
| Scottish League One | 72 | 18 | 25.0% | 14 | 14 |
| Scottish League Cup | 53 | 10 | 18.9% | 4 | 4 |
| Scottish Cup | 48 | 14 | 29.2% | 3 | 3 |
| Club Friendlies | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 12 |
| 2025 | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 14 |
| 2024 | 42 | 12 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2023 | 41 | 10 | 24.4% | 9 |
| 2022 | 44 | 12 | 27.3% | 16 |
| 2021 | 38 | 9 | 23.7% | 15 |
| 2020 | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 8 |
| 2019 | 43 | 7 | 16.3% | 11 |
| 2018 | 43 | 10 | 23.3% | 10 |
| 2017 | 41 | 7 | 17.1% | 20 |
| 2016 | 46 | 9 | 19.6% | 12 |
| 2015 | 40 | 7 | 17.5% | 10 |
| 2014 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 12 |
| 2013 | 41 | 11 | 26.8% | 4 |
| 2012 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 7 |
| 2011 | 46 | 11 | 23.9% | 11 |
| 2010 | 36 | 12 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 7 |
| 2008 | 19 | 4 | 21.1% | 13 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.