Aalesunds FK
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.
Over 401 matches (Apr 2015 – Sep 2026), Aalesunds FK drew 91 where the draw model expected 85.6 from those particular fixtures — about 5 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 88.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 13 Jun 2004 → 31 Oct 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 26 Apr 2009 → 08 Jul 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 15 | 15 Jul 2001 → 14 Oct 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 14 | 22 Jul 2007 → 03 Nov 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 02 Aug 2025 → 04 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 13 | 20 Jul 2003 → 05 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 16 Aug 2020 → 08 Nov 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 11 | 04 Oct 2015 → 17 Apr 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 11 | 27 Jun 2015 → 20 Sep 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 11 | 22 Jun 2011 → 19 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliteserien | 486 | 116 | 23.9% | 4 | 14 |
| 1. divisjon | 432 | 96 | 22.2% | 0 | 24 |
| Norwegian Football Cup | 321 | 54 | 16.8% | 0 | 6 |
| UEFA Europa League | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 3 | 5 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 | 4 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 34 | 11 | 32.4% | 6 |
| 2025 | 39 | 12 | 30.8% | 13 |
| 2024 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 9 |
| 2023 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% | 10 |
| 2022 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2021 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2020 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 2019 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 9 |
| 2018 | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 7 |
| 2017 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 2015 | 33 | 5 | 15.2% | 11 |
| 2014 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 5 |
| 2013 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% | 5 |
| 2012 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% | 9 |
| 2011 | 45 | 9 | 20.0% | 11 |
| 2010 | 35 | 6 | 17.1% | 11 |
| 2009 | 37 | 10 | 27.0% | 16 |
| 2008 | 30 | 5 | 16.7% | 10 |
| 2007 | 30 | 4 | 13.3% | 14 |
| 2006 | 34 | 9 | 26.5% | 10 |
| 2005 | 30 | 9 | 30.0% | 6 |
| 2004 | 33 | 2 | 6.1% | 20 |
| 2003 | 31 | 7 | 22.6% | 13 |
| 2002 | 36 | 9 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2001 | 33 | 9 | 27.3% | 15 |
| 2000 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1999 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1998 | 29 | 4 | 13.8% | 8 |
| 1997 | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | 10 |
| 1996 | 23 | 6 | 26.1% | 6 |
| 1995 | 25 | 8 | 32.0% | 5 |
| 1994 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1993 | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 8 |
| 1992 | 24 | 8 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1991 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 6 |
| 1990 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1986 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1985 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1980 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1976 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1975 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1973 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1972 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1971 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1967 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1964 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1963 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1962 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1958 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1957 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1952 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1951 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1949 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1948 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1947 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1946 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1945 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1940 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1939 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1937 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1935 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1934 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1932 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1931 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1930 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1929 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1927 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1926 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1925 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1921 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1920 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1919 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1918 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1917 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 11 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 11 Oct 15:00 |
Aalesunds FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.6% |
|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 17 Oct 14:00 |
Kristiansund BK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sun, 25 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 25 Oct 16:00 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 22.8% |
|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 28 Oct 17:00 |
Kristiansund BK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 15.4% | NOR · Norwegian Football Cup |
| Sat, 31 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 31 Oct 17:00 |
Aalesunds FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.7% |
|
| Sun, 08 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 08 Nov 16:00 |
Lillestrøm SK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 22 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 22 Nov 16:00 |
Aalesunds FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 20.8% |
|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 | ||||||
| 29 Nov 13:30 |
Fredrikstad FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 23.0% |
|
| Sat, 05 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Dec 15:00 |
Aalesunds FK
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 17.5% |
|
| Sun, 13 Dec 2026 | ||||||
| 13 Dec 16:00 |
SK Brann
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 19.5% |
|
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.