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Match official

Trevor Kettle

2003–2022 · 3 competitions
Also recorded as: T Kettle
Matches 493
Draws 123
Draw % 25.0% +0.6 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 493 matches (Aug 2003 – Apr 2022), Trevor Kettle drew 123 where the draw model expected 136.3 from those particular fixtures — about 13 fewer, or 1.3 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 134.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League One 198 47 23.7%
ENG · League Two 194 47 24.2%
ENG · Championship 101 29 28.7%
By season 18 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2021/22 18 5 27.8%
2020/21 28 6 21.4%
2019/20 24 3 12.5%
2018/19 32 6 18.8%
2017/18 31 6 19.4%
2016/17 29 6 20.7%
2015/16 26 6 23.1%
2014/15 21 8 38.1%
2013/14 28 11 39.3%
2011/12 22 7 31.8%
2010/11 28 8 28.6%
2009/10 33 8 24.2%
2008/09 30 8 26.7%
2007/08 31 8 25.8%
2006/07 34 9 26.5%
2005/06 32 9 28.1%
2004/05 21 1 4.8%
2003/04 25 8 32.0%
Latest matches last 50

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