▦ FDB4
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Match official

Steve Dunn

2000–2005 · 4 competitions
Also recorded as: Dunn, S. W., S Dunn
Matches 121
Draws 20
Draw % 16.5% -7.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 4
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 121 matches (Aug 2000 – May 2005), Steve Dunn drew 20 where the draw model expected 31.7 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 2.4 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 6 times running. A flat league average would have expected 31.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 4 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · Premier League 90 14 15.6%
ENG · Championship 16 4 25.0%
ENG · League One 9 1 11.1%
ENG · League Two 6 1 16.7%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2004/05 27 4 14.8%
2003/04 24 5 20.8%
2002/03 27 1 3.7%
2001/02 15 5 33.3%
2000/01 28 5 17.9%
Latest matches last 50

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