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S Tallis

2020–2025 · 3 competitions
Matches 105
Draws 26
Draw % 24.8% +0.4 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 105 matches (Oct 2020 – Apr 2025), S Tallis drew 26 where the draw model expected 28.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.

A flat league average would have expected 27.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · National League 57 11 19.3%
ENG · League Two 26 8 30.8%
ENG · League One 22 7 31.8%
By season 5 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2024/25 26 6 23.1%
2023/24 24 8 33.3%
2022/23 16 4 25.0%
2021/22 19 5 26.3%
2020/21 20 3 15.0%
Latest matches last 50

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