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S Mather

2018–2026 · 3 competitions
Matches 213
Draws 48
Draw % 22.5% -1.8 pts vs 24.3%
Comps 3
Luck or skill how this is worked out ›

Over 213 matches (Aug 2018 – Oct 2026), S Mather drew 48 where the draw model expected 57.8 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.5 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 56.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

By competition 3 competitions
Competition Matches Draws Draw %
ENG · League Two 78 17 21.8%
ENG · League One 76 18 23.7%
ENG · National League 59 13 22.0%
By season 9 seasons
Season Matches Draws Draw %
2026/27 10 1 10.0%
2025/26 32 6 18.8%
2024/25 33 9 27.3%
2023/24 30 7 23.3%
2022/23 26 6 23.1%
2021/22 27 6 22.2%
2020/21 22 4 18.2%
2019/20 13 4 30.8%
2018/19 20 5 25.0%
Latest matches last 50

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