S Martin
Over 467 matches (Aug 2008 – Oct 2026), S Martin drew 124 where the draw model expected 129.4 from those particular fixtures — about 5 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 126.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| Competition | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| ENG · Championship | 282 | 77 | 27.3% |
| ENG · League One | 67 | 18 | 26.9% |
| ENG · League Two | 63 | 16 | 25.4% |
| ENG · National League | 55 | 13 | 23.6% |
| Season | Matches | Draws | Draw % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/27 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% |
| 2025/26 | 28 | 10 | 35.7% |
| 2024/25 | 31 | 6 | 19.4% |
| 2023/24 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% |
| 2022/23 | 30 | 7 | 23.3% |
| 2021/22 | 33 | 4 | 12.1% |
| 2020/21 | 28 | 9 | 32.1% |
| 2019/20 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% |
| 2018/19 | 32 | 9 | 28.1% |
| 2017/18 | 38 | 13 | 34.2% |
| 2016/17 | 30 | 11 | 36.7% |
| 2015/16 | 33 | 8 | 24.2% |
| 2014/15 | 32 | 5 | 15.6% |
| 2013/14 | 30 | 8 | 26.7% |
| 2011/12 | 23 | 5 | 21.7% |
| 2010/11 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% |
| 2009/10 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% |
| 2008/09 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% |
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | Sheffield United | 1–1 | Derby County | D | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Norwich City | 0–1 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Burnley | 1–1 | Derby County | D | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Preston North End | 0–1 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Wycombe Wanderers | 3–3 | Milton Keynes Dons | D | ENG · League One |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Southampton | 3–1 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 May 2026 | Preston North End | 1–3 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Hull City | 1–1 | Birmingham City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Oxford United | 2–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Apr 2026 | Bolton Wanderers | 2–2 | Stockport County | D | ENG · League One |
| 03 Apr 2026 | Norwich City | 1–1 | Portsmouth | D | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Swansea City | 0–3 | Coventry City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Wrexham | 1–2 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Millwall | 1–3 | Portsmouth | A | ENG · Championship |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Queens Park Rangers | 1–3 | Blackburn Rovers | A | ENG · Championship |
| 07 Feb 2026 | Plymouth Argyle | 1–4 | Lincoln City | A | ENG · League One |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Oxford United | 0–2 | Birmingham City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Preston North End | 0–3 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Wigan Athletic | 0–1 | Bolton Wanderers | A | ENG · League One |
| 05 Jan 2026 | Leicester City | 2–1 | West Bromwich Albion | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2–2 | Hull City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Preston North End | 1–1 | Norwich City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Coventry City | 1–0 | Bristol City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 06 Dec 2025 | Sheffield United | 4–0 | Stoke City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 1–5 | Southampton | A | ENG · Championship |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 1–1 | Preston North End | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Nov 2025 | Derby County | 2–1 | Hull City | H | ENG · Championship |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Middlesbrough | 1–1 | Wrexham | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Walsall | 2–1 | Bristol Rovers | H | ENG · League Two |
| 26 Sep 2025 | West Bromwich Albion | 1–1 | Leicester City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Swansea City | 1–1 | Watford | D | ENG · Championship |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Portsmouth | 1–2 | Norwich City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 09 Aug 2025 | Charlton Athletic | 1–0 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 03 May 2025 | Watford | 1–1 | Sheffield Wednesday | D | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Hull City | 0–1 | Derby County | A | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Apr 2025 | Stoke City | 2–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Barrow | 2–0 | Walsall | H | ENG · League Two |
| 09 Apr 2025 | Swansea City | 3–0 | Plymouth Argyle | H | ENG · Championship |
| 02 Apr 2025 | Derby County | 2–0 | Preston North End | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Mar 2025 | Sheffield United | 1–1 | Bristol City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 04 Mar 2025 | Preston North End | 0–0 | Swansea City | D | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Mar 2025 | Stockport County | 2–1 | Blackpool | H | ENG · League One |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Burnley | 4–0 | Sheffield Wednesday | H | ENG · Championship |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Derby County | 0–0 | Oxford United | D | ENG · Championship |
| 03 Feb 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2–3 | Sunderland | A | ENG · Championship |
| 21 Jan 2025 | Oxford United | 3–2 | Luton Town | H | ENG · Championship |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Millwall | 0–1 | Hull City | A | ENG · Championship |
| 01 Jan 2025 | Queens Park Rangers | 3–1 | Watford | H | ENG · Championship |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Stoke City | 0–2 | Leeds United | A | ENG · Championship |